Brest beat Angers 5–1. Bawler's model had Brest in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Brest had 19 shots (9 on target) to Angers' 9 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Brest beat Angers 5–1. Bawler's model had Brest in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Brest had 19 shots (9 on target) to Angers' 9 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.4.
Brest 5–1 Angers, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brest 54%, the draw 25% and Angers 21%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–1.4, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 9–3, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 8–1, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 5–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Brest and Angers scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brest or draw 79%, it finished Brest won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.