Brest vs Angers prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK
Brest 54Draw 25Angers 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Brest or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
69%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Brest beat Angers 5–1. Bawler's model had Brest in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Brest had 19 shots (9 on target) to Angers' 9 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.4.

BrestFull-time statsAngers
54%Possession46%
3.7Expected goals (xG)1.4
19Shots9
9Shots on target3
12Shots inside box8
8Big chances1
4Corners5
2Saves4
5Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBrest or draw 79%Brest won (54% called)
Total goals2.86
Both teams to score53%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BrestAngers
1.8
Goals+0.7
1.0
16.6
Shots+7.0
9.6
6.3
On target+3.6
2.8
5.5
Corners+1.1
6.6
BrestAngers
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
7.9
Shots+3.8
4.1
3.1
On target+1.8
1.2
2.6
Corners+0.5
3.1
BrestAngers
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8
8.7
Shots+3.2
5.5
3.3
On target+1.7
1.5
2.9
Corners+0.6
3.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Brest to score83%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Angers to score64%

First half — what we expected

Brest
59%
to score before half-time
Angers
25%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%

BrestAngers
7.91st-half shots4.1
3.11st-half shots on target1.2
2.61st-half corners3.1

First-half chances

62%Chance of 7+ shots16%
40%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
77%Chance of 2+ shots on target34%
37%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
68%Chance of 2+ corners76%
28%Chance of 4+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Brest7.98.7
Shots · Angers4.15.5
Shots on target · Brest3.13.3
Shots on target · Angers1.21.5
Corners · Brest2.62.9
Corners · Angers3.13.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Brest form (last 6)D D W L L W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Brest 3 · Draws 1 · Angers 1
Angers in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2026Brest 1–1 Angers
Sept 2025Angers 0–2 Brest
Mar 2025Brest 2–0 Angers
Jan 2025Angers 2–0 Brest
Jan 2024Brest 1–0 Angers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Brest vs Angers?

Brest beat Angers 5–1. Bawler's model had Brest in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Brest had 19 shots (9 on target) to Angers' 9 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Brest vs Angers?

Brest 5–1 Angers, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brest 54%, the draw 25% and Angers 21%.

What were the stats in Brest vs Angers?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–1.4, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 9–3, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 8–1, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 5–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Brest vs Angers?

Yes — both Brest and Angers scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Brest vs Angers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brest or draw 79%, it finished Brest won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Brest form →Angers form →