How it finished
Brest and Toulouse drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Brest at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Brest had 25 shots (7 on target) to Toulouse's 6 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Brest vs Toulouse?
Brest and Toulouse drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Brest at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Brest had 25 shots (7 on target) to Toulouse's 6 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Brest vs Toulouse?
Brest 2–2 Toulouse, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brest 39%, the draw 27% and Toulouse 34%.
What were the stats in Brest vs Toulouse?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.1, Shots 25–6, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 15–4, Big chances 6–3, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 19–18, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Brest vs Toulouse?
Yes — both Brest and Toulouse scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Brest vs Toulouse right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brest or draw 66%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Landed.