C.D. Nacional vs Estoril prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 16 Aug · 15:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 16 Aug · 15:30 UK
C.D. Nacional 38Draw 30Estoril 33
Our call before kickoff
67%
C.D. Nacional or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

C.D. Nacional beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model had C.D. Nacional in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. C.D. Nacional had 20 shots (3 on target) to Estoril's 9 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%.

C.D. NacionalFull-time statsEstoril
59%Possession41%
20Shots9
3Shots on target5
7Corners4
5Saves1
13Fouls13
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callC.D. Nacional or draw 67%C.D. Nacional won (38% called)
Total goals2.62
Both teams to score52%No
Graded pick (as published before kickoff)C.D. Nacional or draw 69%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

C.D. NacionalEstoril
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
C.D. Nacional to score79%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Estoril to score66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Estoril in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Nacional 0–1 Estoril
Oct 2025Estoril 1–1 Nacional
Feb 2025Nacional 2–2 Estoril
Sept 2024Estoril 1–0 Nacional
Jul 2021Nacional 1–2 Estoril
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won C.D. Nacional vs Estoril?

C.D. Nacional beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model had C.D. Nacional in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. C.D. Nacional had 20 shots (3 on target) to Estoril's 9 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%.

What was the final score in C.D. Nacional vs Estoril?

C.D. Nacional 2–0 Estoril, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with C.D. Nacional 38%, the draw 30% and Estoril 33%.

What were the stats in C.D. Nacional vs Estoril?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 3–5, Corners 7–4, Saves 5–1, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in C.D. Nacional vs Estoril?

No. It finished 2–0, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for C.D. Nacional vs Estoril right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said C.D. Nacional or draw 67%, it finished C.D. Nacional won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said C.D. Nacional or draw 69%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →C.D. Nacional form →Estoril form →