Bawler / PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal / Nacional
Team profile

Nacional Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.3
a game
14.2 faced
On target
4.1
a game
4.4 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Corners
4.7
a game
6.0 against

Nacional prediction: Bawler's model rates Nacional at 1.20 expected goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match across 2 settled fixtures. No Nacional fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Nacional are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.50 expected goals a game against a Liga Portugal average of 1.19.

Nacional in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.3Away 0.8
4.7
Corners · per game
give up 6.0
Home 5.4Away 4.0
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 14.2
Home 12.1Away 12.5
4.1
On target · per game
faced 4.4
Home 4.0Away 4.2
Last 6 games
15 Aug
0-2
@ Racing Montevideo
5-4
10 Aug
2-2
@ Santa Clara
4-4
09 Aug
1-2
vs Boston River
11-2
02 Aug
1-1
vs Progreso
10-1
16 May
2-0
vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2-6
11 May
0-2
@ Santa Clara
6-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Nacional compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.

Goals for
1.20
Below average
Goals against
1.50
Leakier than most
Scored1.20
Conceded1.50

The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.23 scored, 1.19 conceded).

Recent matches (last 2)

Transfer activity

INAllen ObandoSTfrom Inter Miami CFLoan
INDaniel de la CruzRMfrom LDU de QuitoLoan
INStavros GavrielRWfrom Zulte WaregemFree transfer
INWesleyRBfrom Avai FCUndisclosed
INMatchoiCMfrom BaşakşehirUndisclosed
INDanel DongmoCMfrom Petrolul PloiestiFree transfer
INJoão GonçalvesGKfrom Universitatea CraiovaFree transfer
INFernando NavaLWfrom Always ReadyUndisclosed
OUTJesús RamírezSTto Çorum FKUndisclosed
OUTPaulinho BóiaLWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTLenny VallierLBto DunkerqueUndisclosed
OUTWitiLWto PyunikUndisclosed
OUTLucas JoãoSTto Petro AtleticoFree transfer
OUTLucas FrançaGKto Free agentFree transfer
OUTJotaCMto MachicoFree transfer
OUTAndré SousaCMto Uniao SantaremFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Nacional and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly