Internazionale beat Cagliari 1–0. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cagliari had 10 shots (0 on target) to Internazionale's 31 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Internazionale beat Cagliari 1–0. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cagliari had 10 shots (0 on target) to Internazionale's 31 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.9.
Cagliari 0–1 Internazionale, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cagliari 18%, the draw 24% and Internazionale 59%.
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–3.9, Shots 10–31, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 5–25, Big chances 0–6, Corners 8–6, Saves 5–0, Fouls 6–5, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 0–1, so Cagliari failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Internazionale or draw 82%, it finished Internazionale won (59% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.