How it finished
Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Bawler's model had Santa Clara in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Casa Pia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Santa Clara's 14 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Bawler's model had Santa Clara in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Casa Pia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Santa Clara's 14 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Casa Pia 23%, the draw 28% and Santa Clara 48%.
What were the stats in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.6, Shots 5–14, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 3–5, Big chances 1–0, Corners 3–7, Saves 1–2, Fouls 17–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–5, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
No. It finished 0–1, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Santa Clara or draw 77%, it finished Santa Clara won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.