Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor prediction — Süper Lig · Mon 7 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Mon 7 Sept · 18:00 UK
Caykur Rizespor 50Draw 26Alanyaspor 24
Our call before kickoff
76%
Caykur Rizespor or draw
Missed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Alanyaspor beat Caykur Rizespor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 24%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Caykur Rizespor had 21 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.1.

Caykur…Full-time statsAlanyaspor
64%Possession36%
1.3Expected goals (xG)2.1
21Shots9
5Shots on target2
8Shots inside box6
2Big chances4
8Corners7
1Saves5
8Fouls15
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCaykur Rizespor or draw 76%Alanyaspor won (24% called)
Total goals2.71
Both teams to score53%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Caykur RizesporAlanyaspor
1.6
Goals+0.6
1.1
15.0
Shots+5.2
9.8
4.8
On target+1.4
3.4
4.7
Corners+1.8
2.9
Caykur RizesporAlanyaspor
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
6.8
Shots+2.6
4.2
2.2
On target+0.7
1.5
2.2
Corners+0.8
1.3
Caykur RizesporAlanyaspor
1.1
Goals+0.5
0.7
8.2
Shots+2.6
5.5
2.6
On target+0.7
1.9
2.5
Corners+0.9
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Caykur Rizespor to score80%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Alanyaspor to score66%

First half — what we expected

Caykur Rizespor
51%
to score before half-time
Alanyaspor
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Caykur RizesporAlanyaspor
6.81st-half shots4.2
2.21st-half shots on target1.5
2.21st-half corners1.3

First-half chances

62%Chance of 6+ shots27%
38%Chance of 8+ shots11%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target72%
36%Chance of 3+ shots on target20%
84%Chance of 1+ corners68%
36%Chance of 3+ corners18%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Caykur Rizespor6.88.2
Shots · Alanyaspor4.25.5
Shots on target · Caykur Rizespor2.22.6
Shots on target · Alanyaspor1.51.9
Corners · Caykur Rizespor2.22.5
Corners · Alanyaspor1.31.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Alanyaspor in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?

Alanyaspor beat Caykur Rizespor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 24%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Caykur Rizespor had 21 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.1.

What was the final score in Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?

Caykur Rizespor 0–1 Alanyaspor, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 50%, the draw 26% and Alanyaspor 24%.

What were the stats in Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.1, Shots 21–9, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 8–7, Saves 1–5, Fouls 8–15, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?

No. It finished 0–1, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Caykur Rizespor or draw 76%, it finished Alanyaspor won (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Caykur Rizespor form →Alanyaspor form →