Fenerbahce beat Caykur Rizespor 3–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Caykur Rizespor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Fenerbahce's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Fenerbahce beat Caykur Rizespor 3–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Caykur Rizespor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Fenerbahce's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Caykur Rizespor 0–3 Fenerbahce, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 24%, the draw 24% and Fenerbahce 51%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.0, Shots 19–13, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–5, Fouls 4–6, Offsides 0–3.
No. It finished 0–3, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fenerbahce or draw 76%, it finished Fenerbahce won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Fenerbahce to win 51%, it finished Landed.