Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 10 Oct · 17:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 10 Oct · 17:00 UK
Caykur Rizespor 24Draw 24Fenerbahce 51
Our call before kickoff
76%
Fenerbahce or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Fenerbahce beat Caykur Rizespor 3–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Caykur Rizespor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Fenerbahce's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.

Caykur…Full-time statsFenerbahce
50%Possession50%
1.5Expected goals (xG)1.0
19Shots13
5Shots on target5
11Shots inside box10
3Big chances1
2Corners5
2Saves5
4Fouls6
0Offsides3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFenerbahce or draw 76%Fenerbahce won (51% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed
Second pickFenerbahce to win 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Caykur RizesporFenerbahce
1.2
Goals+0.6
1.8
17.0
Shots+2.2
14.8
4.6
On target+3.5
8.1
4.3
Corners+2.2
6.6
Caykur RizesporFenerbahce
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
7.8
Shots+1.0
6.8
2.1
On target+1.5
3.6
2.0
Corners+1.0
3.1
Caykur RizesporFenerbahce
0.8
Goals+0.4
1.2
9.3
Shots+1.2
8.0
2.5
On target+2.0
4.5
2.3
Corners+1.2
3.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Fenerbahce to score84%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Caykur Rizespor to score69%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

Caykur Rizespor
41%
to score before half-time
Fenerbahce
60%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

Caykur RizesporFenerbahce
7.81st-half shots6.8
2.11st-half shots on target3.6
2.01st-half corners3.1

First-half chances

61%Chance of 7+ shots49%
38%Chance of 9+ shots27%
34%Chance of 3+ shots on target66%
<10%Chance of 5+ shots on target30%
56%Chance of 2+ corners76%
17%Chance of 4+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Caykur Rizespor7.89.3
Shots · Fenerbahce6.88.0
Shots on target · Caykur Rizespor2.12.5
Shots on target · Fenerbahce3.64.5
Corners · Caykur Rizespor2.02.3
Corners · Fenerbahce3.13.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Caykur Rizespor form (last 6)L W L W D L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.6 / match
Fenerbahce in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

Fenerbahce beat Caykur Rizespor 3–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Caykur Rizespor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Fenerbahce's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

Caykur Rizespor 0–3 Fenerbahce, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 24%, the draw 24% and Fenerbahce 51%.

What were the stats in Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.0, Shots 19–13, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–5, Fouls 4–6, Offsides 0–3.

Did both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

No. It finished 0–3, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fenerbahce or draw 76%, it finished Fenerbahce won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Fenerbahce to win 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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