How it finished
Charlotte FC beat FC Dallas 3–2. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Charlotte FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?
Charlotte FC beat FC Dallas 3–2. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Charlotte FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 2.2.
What was the final score in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?
Charlotte FC 3–2 FC Dallas, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 44%, the draw 25% and FC Dallas 31%.
What were the stats in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–2.2, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 17–9, Big chances 5–4, Corners 14–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?
Yes — both Charlotte FC and FC Dallas scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 69%, it finished Charlotte FC won (44% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.