How it finished
Charlton Athletic and Bristol City drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Charlton Athletic had 12 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 13 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City?
Charlton Athletic and Bristol City drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Charlton Athletic had 12 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 13 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City?
Charlton Athletic 1–1 Bristol City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlton Athletic 36%, the draw 28% and Bristol City 36%.
What were the stats in Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.5, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 5–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City?
Yes — both Charlton Athletic and Bristol City scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bristol City or draw 65%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Charlton Athletic or draw 64%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 52%, it finished Landed.