Charlton Athletic v
Derby County
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Charlton average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Derby average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Charlton vs Derby — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Charlton and Derby — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Charlton 43% · draw 33% · Derby 24%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.