How it finished
Charlton Athletic beat Derby County 2–1. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Charlton Athletic had 13 shots (4 on target) to Derby County's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?
Charlton Athletic beat Derby County 2–1. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Charlton Athletic had 13 shots (4 on target) to Derby County's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?
Charlton Athletic 2–1 Derby County, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlton Athletic 43%, the draw 33% and Derby County 24%.
What were the stats in Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.0, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–4, Saves 3–2, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–3.
Did both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?
Yes — both Charlton Athletic and Derby County scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Derby County right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlton Athletic or draw 76%, it finished Charlton Athletic won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Charlton Athletic or draw 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.