How it finished
Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Colorado Rapids at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Colorado Rapids had 13 shots (10 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Colorado Rapids at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Colorado Rapids had 13 shots (10 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 42%, the draw 24% and San Jose Earthquakes 34%.
What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.7, Shots 13–9, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 2–9, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 5–7, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Yes — both Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 66%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.