How it finished
Crystal Palace beat Lech Poznan 4–0. Bawler's model had Crystal Palace in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Crystal Palace had 16 shots (6 on target) to Lech Poznan's 17 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
Crystal Palace beat Lech Poznan 4–0. Bawler's model had Crystal Palace in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Crystal Palace had 16 shots (6 on target) to Lech Poznan's 17 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznan, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Crystal Palace 65%, the draw 20% and Lech Poznan 15%.
What were the stats in Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.1, Shots 16–17, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–5, Saves 6–2, Fouls 11–7, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
No. It finished 4–0, so Lech Poznan failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Crystal Palace to win 65%, it finished Crystal Palace won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.