Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace operate as a marginally blunt attacking unit—1.42 xG per match suggests they create reasonable opportunities but fail to convert at an elite rate—whilst their defence remains problematic at 1.53 xG conceded. Their recent record (3W–3D–2L across eight fixtures) reflects this inconsistency; the last five matches show a pattern of mixed results with two losses sandwiched between draws and a solitary win. With no upcoming fixtures in the current window, the model stands ready to track their next assignment. Bawler's Poisson projections have backed Palace selections to a 75% banker hit rate, offering a reliable baseline for their unpredictable profile.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Crystal Palace were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the England: Premier League average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Crystal Palace are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Crystal Palace actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Crystal Palace's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Crystal Palace fixture, the model lands 7 out of 9 (78%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Crystal Palace fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Crystal Palace matches.