Bawler / England: Premier League / Crystal Palace
Team profile

Crystal Palace Prediction

Per-game numbers from 57 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.5
a game
10.7 faced
On target
4.1
a game
3.7 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 57 matches
Next match
27%
Crystal Palace win chance
at Everton · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Crystal Palace prediction: for Crystal Palace's next match — Everton vs Crystal Palace on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Everton are favoured (44%).

Crystal Palace sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.40 expected goals a game and conceding 1.53. Next up is a trip to Everton, where the model has them as underdogs at 27%.

Crystal Palace in numbers

57 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 1.2Away 1.3
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
Home 4.5Away 4.1
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 10.7
Home 13.7Away 11.3
4.1
On target · per game
faced 3.7
Home 4.2Away 4.1
Last 6 games
31 Jul
3-1
vs Al-Ula
-
28 Jul
1-0
@ Famalicao
-
28 Jul
0-3
vs Lens
-
27 May
1-0
vs Rayo Vallecano
4-1
24 May
1-2
vs Arsenal
3-4
17 May
2-2
@ Brentford
4-9

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Everton · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
27%
This team
Draw
29%
Loss
44%
Everton
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Crystal Palace compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.40
Below average
Goals against
1.53
Leakier than most
Record
3W 3D 3L
9 settled
Real goals
1.6 – 1.4
For / against, per match
Scored1.40
Conceded1.53

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.44 scored, 1.47 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Crystal Palace fixtures (4/5).

How Bawler has done on Crystal Palace

78%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 9, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5
Result75%3/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 9)

Sun 24 Mayvs Arsenal
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 May@ Brentford
High confidence: X2
Wed 13 May@ Manchester City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 Mayvs Everton
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 30 Apr@ Shakhtar Donetsk
High confidence: 1X
Thu 16 Apr@ Fiorentina
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 09 Aprvs Fiorentina
High confidence: 1X
Sat 21 Mar@ Manchester City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 19 Mar@ AEK Larnaca
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INEvann GuessandRWfrom Aston VillaLoan
INDwight McNeilRWfrom EvertonUndisclosed
INÓscar MinguezaRMfrom Free agentFree transfer
INAnan KhalailiRWBfrom Union St.GilloiseUndisclosed
INTakehiro TomiyasuCBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTMaxence LacroixCBto Chelsea€61m
OUTBrennan JohnsonAMto EvertonUndisclosed
OUTDaichi KamadaDMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTDaniel ImrayRBto Wrexham€5.9m
OUTOwen GoodmanGKto Dundee FCLoan
OUTRio CardinesRWBto Bristol CityLoan
OUTHindolo MustaphaAMto Wigan AthleticLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

RichardsRichardsDEF · £5.0m · 0.8% owned3.6 pts
SarrSarrMID · £6.5m · 7% owned3.5 pts
CanvotCanvotDEF · £5.0m · 0.5% owned3.4 pts
WhartonWhartonMID · £5.5m · 0.5% owned3.3 pts
HendersonHendersonGKP · £5.0m · 3.2% owned2.9 pts
Next 5:EVE (A)MCI (H)FUL (A)IPS (H)LEE (A)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

More on Crystal Palace and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly