Deportivo vs Sevilla prediction — LaLiga · Wed 16 Sept · 18:00 UK

LaLiga · Wed 16 Sept · 18:00 UK
Deportivo 42Draw 27Sevilla 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Deportivo or draw
Missed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
64%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Sevilla beat Deportivo 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Deportivo at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 30%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Deportivo had 4 shots (3 on target) to Sevilla's 11 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%.

DeportivoFull-time statsSevilla
53%Possession47%
4Shots11
3Shots on target6
4Corners4
5Saves3
15Fouls16
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callDeportivo or draw 70%Sevilla won (30% called)
Total goals2.71
Both teams to score54%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

DeportivoSevilla
1.5
Goals+0.3
1.2
8.8
Shots+0.8
9.5
4.6
On target+1.0
3.6
4.4
Corners+1.1
3.3
DeportivoSevilla
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.3
4.0
Shots+0.3
4.3
2.1
On target+0.6
1.5
2.1
Corners+0.5
1.6
DeportivoSevilla
1.0
Goals+0.1
0.9
4.8
Shots+0.5
5.2
2.5
On target+0.4
2.1
2.3
Corners+0.6
1.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Deportivo to score77%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Sevilla to score70%

First half — what we expected

Deportivo
48%
to score before half-time
Sevilla
31%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%

DeportivoSevilla
4.01st-half shots4.3
2.11st-half shots on target1.5
2.11st-half corners1.6

First-half chances

69%Chance of 3+ shots73%
37%Chance of 5+ shots41%
84%Chance of 1+ shots on target73%
34%Chance of 3+ shots on target21%
82%Chance of 1+ corners73%
34%Chance of 3+ corners22%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Deportivo4.04.8
Shots · Sevilla4.35.2
Shots on target · Deportivo2.12.5
Shots on target · Sevilla1.52.1
Corners · Deportivo2.12.3
Corners · Sevilla1.61.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Deportivo 0 · Draws 2 · Sevilla 3
Sevilla in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2018Deportivo A Coruña 0–0 Sevilla
Dec 2017Sevilla 2–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Apr 2017Sevilla 4–2 Deportivo A Coruña
Nov 2016Deportivo A Coruña 2–3 Sevilla
Apr 2016Sevilla 1–1 Deportivo A Coruña
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Deportivo vs Sevilla?

Sevilla beat Deportivo 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Deportivo at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 30%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Deportivo had 4 shots (3 on target) to Sevilla's 11 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%.

What was the final score in Deportivo vs Sevilla?

Deportivo 0–1 Sevilla, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Deportivo 42%, the draw 27% and Sevilla 30%.

What were the stats in Deportivo vs Sevilla?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Shots 4–11, Shots on target 3–6, Corners 4–4, Saves 5–3, Fouls 15–16, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Deportivo vs Sevilla?

No. It finished 0–1, so Deportivo failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Deportivo vs Sevilla right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Deportivo or draw 70%, it finished Sevilla won (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Deportivo form →Sevilla form →