Dundee United vs Hibernian prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
Dundee United 32Draw 26Hibernian 42
Our call before kickoff
68%
Hibernian or draw
Missed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Dundee United beat Hibernian 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 32%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Dundee United had 18 shots (8 on target) to Hibernian's 13 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.8.

Dundee UnitedFull-time statsHibernian
45%Possession55%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.8
18Shots13
8Shots on target4
12Shots inside box7
3Big chances0
8Corners3
4Saves7
13Fouls14
1Offsides1
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHibernian or draw 68%Dundee United won (32% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Dundee UnitedHibernian
1.4
Goals+0.2
1.6
17.5
Shots+2.4
15.1
5.9
On target+1.0
4.9
6.6
Corners+1.2
7.8
Dundee UnitedHibernian
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
7.4
Shots+0.5
6.9
2.5
On target+0.3
2.2
3.1
Corners+0.6
3.7
Dundee UnitedHibernian
1.0
Goals
1.0
10.1
Shots+1.9
8.2
3.4
On target+0.7
2.6
3.5
Corners+0.6
4.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Hibernian to score80%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Dundee United to score75%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

Dundee United
41%
to score before half-time
Hibernian
61%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Dundee UnitedHibernian
7.41st-half shots6.9
2.51st-half shots on target2.2
3.11st-half corners3.7

First-half chances

69%Chance of 6+ shots63%
45%Chance of 8+ shots39%
68%Chance of 2+ shots on target62%
26%Chance of 4+ shots on target21%
56%Chance of 3+ corners66%
23%Chance of 5+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Dundee United7.410.1
Shots · Hibernian6.98.2
Shots on target · Dundee United2.53.4
Shots on target · Hibernian2.22.6
Corners · Dundee United3.13.5
Corners · Hibernian3.74.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Dundee United form (last 6)L W L D W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Dundee United 0 · Draws 2 · Hibernian 3
Hibernian in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Hibernian 3–2 Dundee United
Dec 2025Dundee United 1–1 Hibernian
Sept 2025Hibernian 3–3 Dundee United
May 2025Hibernian 3–1 Dundee United
Feb 2025Dundee United 1–3 Hibernian
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Dundee United beat Hibernian 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 32%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Dundee United had 18 shots (8 on target) to Hibernian's 13 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Dundee United 1–0 Hibernian, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee United 32%, the draw 26% and Hibernian 42%.

What were the stats in Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.8, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 12–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 8–3, Saves 4–7, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Dundee United vs Hibernian?

No. It finished 1–0, so Hibernian failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Dundee United vs Hibernian right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hibernian or draw 68%, it finished Dundee United won (32% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Dundee United form →Hibernian form →