How it finished
Dundee beat Motherwell 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Motherwell at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee 28%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (6 on target) to Motherwell's 15 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Dundee vs Motherwell?
Dundee beat Motherwell 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Motherwell at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee 28%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (6 on target) to Motherwell's 15 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Dundee vs Motherwell?
Dundee 2–1 Motherwell, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee 28%, the draw 26% and Motherwell 46%.
What were the stats in Dundee vs Motherwell?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.1, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 5–1, Corners 9–9, Saves 3–4, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Dundee vs Motherwell?
Yes — both Dundee and Motherwell scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Dundee vs Motherwell right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Motherwell or draw 72%, it finished Dundee won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed.