Dundee and St Johnstone drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Dundee at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Dundee had 10 shots (2 on target) to St Johnstone's 15 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Dundee and St Johnstone drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Dundee at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Dundee had 10 shots (2 on target) to St Johnstone's 15 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.1.
Dundee 1–1 St Johnstone, played on 02 Sept 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee 43%, the draw 27% and St Johnstone 30%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.1, Shots 10–15, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 3–2, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–2, Fouls 16–14, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Dundee and St Johnstone scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Dundee or draw 70%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.