Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured SC Freiburg at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Eintracht Frankfurt had 10 shots (3 on target) to SC Freiburg's 22 (7), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured SC Freiburg at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Eintracht Frankfurt had 10 shots (3 on target) to SC Freiburg's 22 (7), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.
Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC Freiburg, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Eintracht Frankfurt 36%, the draw 26% and SC Freiburg 38%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.7, Shots 10–22, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 9–17, Big chances 3–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–1, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg or draw 64%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.