Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sept · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sept · 14:30 UK
Eintracht Frankfurt 36Draw 26SC Freiburg 38
Our call before kickoff
64%
SC Freiburg or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured SC Freiburg at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Eintracht Frankfurt had 10 shots (3 on target) to SC Freiburg's 22 (7), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.

Eintracht…Full-time statsSC Freiburg
42%Possession58%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.7
10Shots22
3Shots on target7
9Shots inside box17
3Big chances5
3Corners5
5Saves1
12Fouls11
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSC Freiburg or draw 64%Draw (26% called)
Total goals3.04
Both teams to score61%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Eintracht FrankfurtSC Freiburg
1.5
Goals
1.5
12.9
Shots+1.4
14.2
4.5
On target+0.8
5.3
4.8
Corners+0.2
5.0
Eintracht FrankfurtSC Freiburg
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
5.6
Shots+0.7
6.3
2.0
On target+0.3
2.3
2.3
Corners+0.1
2.3
Eintracht FrankfurtSC Freiburg
1.1
Goals
1.0
7.3
Shots+0.6
7.9
2.5
On target+0.5
3.0
2.5
Corners+0.1
2.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
SC Freiburg to score78%
Eintracht Frankfurt to score78%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Eintracht Frankfurt
44%
to score before half-time
SC Freiburg
52%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Eintracht FrankfurtSC Freiburg
5.61st-half shots6.3
2.01st-half shots on target2.3
2.31st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

60%Chance of 5+ shots69%
34%Chance of 7+ shots43%
83%Chance of 1+ shots on target87%
33%Chance of 3+ shots on target40%
85%Chance of 1+ corners86%
38%Chance of 3+ corners40%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Eintracht Frankfurt5.67.3
Shots · SC Freiburg6.37.9
Shots on target · Eintracht Frankfurt2.02.5
Shots on target · SC Freiburg2.33.0
Corners · Eintracht Frankfurt2.32.5
Corners · SC Freiburg2.32.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Eintracht Frankfurt 3 · Draws 2 · SC Freiburg 0
SC Freiburg in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 Freiburg
Oct 2025Freiburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt
May 2025Freiburg 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 Freiburg
Feb 2024Freiburg 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured SC Freiburg at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Eintracht Frankfurt had 10 shots (3 on target) to SC Freiburg's 22 (7), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.

What was the final score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC Freiburg, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Eintracht Frankfurt 36%, the draw 26% and SC Freiburg 38%.

What were the stats in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.7, Shots 10–22, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 9–17, Big chances 3–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–1, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Yes — both Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg or draw 64%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Eintracht Frankfurt form →SC Freiburg form →