Everton beat Ipswich Town 1–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Everton had 21 shots (2 on target) to Ipswich Town's 13 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Everton beat Ipswich Town 1–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Everton had 21 shots (2 on target) to Ipswich Town's 13 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.3.
Everton 1–0 Ipswich Town, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Everton 54%, the draw 24% and Ipswich Town 21%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.3, Shots 21–13, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 5–1, Corners 4–4, Saves 4–1, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Ipswich Town failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Everton or draw 79%, it finished Everton won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No.