Everton vs Ipswich Town prediction — Premier League · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK
Everton 54Draw 24Ipswich Town 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Everton or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
63%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Everton beat Ipswich Town 1–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Everton had 21 shots (2 on target) to Ipswich Town's 13 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.3.

EvertonFull-time statsIpswich Town
52%Possession48%
2.3Expected goals (xG)1.3
21Shots13
2Shots on target4
13Shots inside box9
5Big chances1
4Corners4
4Saves1
6Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callEverton or draw 79%Everton won (54% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score55%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

EvertonIpswich Town
1.8
Goals+0.8
1.1
16.4
Shots+3.2
13.1
6.6
On target+1.6
5.1
6.1
Corners+2.5
3.5
EvertonIpswich Town
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.3
6.8
Shots+1.0
5.8
2.7
On target+0.6
2.1
2.8
Corners+1.2
1.7
EvertonIpswich Town
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
9.5
Shots+2.2
7.3
3.9
On target+0.9
3.0
3.2
Corners+1.3
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Everton to score84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Ipswich Town to score66%

First half — what we expected

Everton
49%
to score before half-time
Ipswich Town
27%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%

EvertonIpswich Town
6.81st-half shots5.8
2.71st-half shots on target2.1
2.81st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

62%Chance of 6+ shots50%
38%Chance of 8+ shots26%
72%Chance of 2+ shots on target58%
30%Chance of 4+ shots on target18%
72%Chance of 2+ corners46%
32%Chance of 4+ corners12%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Everton6.89.5
Shots · Ipswich Town5.87.3
Shots on target · Everton2.73.9
Shots on target · Ipswich Town2.13.0
Corners · Everton2.83.2
Corners · Ipswich Town1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Everton 1 · Draws 1 · Ipswich Town 0
Ipswich Town in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2025Everton 2–2 Ipswich Town
Oct 2024Ipswich Town 0–2 Everton
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Everton vs Ipswich Town?

Everton beat Ipswich Town 1–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Everton had 21 shots (2 on target) to Ipswich Town's 13 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Everton vs Ipswich Town?

Everton 1–0 Ipswich Town, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Everton 54%, the draw 24% and Ipswich Town 21%.

What were the stats in Everton vs Ipswich Town?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.3, Shots 21–13, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 5–1, Corners 4–4, Saves 4–1, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Everton vs Ipswich Town?

No. It finished 1–0, so Ipswich Town failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Everton vs Ipswich Town right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Everton or draw 79%, it finished Everton won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Everton form →Ipswich Town form →