FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 12 Sept · 17:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 12 Sept · 17:30 UK
FC Cologne 56Draw 24Werder Bremen 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
FC Cologne or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

FC Cologne and Werder Bremen drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Cologne at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Cologne had 15 shots (6 on target) to Werder Bremen's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%.

FC CologneFull-time statsWerder Bremen
47%Possession53%
15Shots14
6Shots on target5
8Corners5
4Saves5
11Fouls12
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Cologne or draw 79%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score56%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC CologneWerder Bremen
1.9
Goals+0.8
1.1
FC CologneWerder Bremen
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
FC CologneWerder Bremen
1.3
Goals+0.6
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
FC Cologne to score85%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Werder Bremen to score66%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

FC Cologne
57%
to score before half-time
Werder Bremen
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Werder Bremen in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen?

FC Cologne and Werder Bremen drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Cologne at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Cologne had 15 shots (6 on target) to Werder Bremen's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%.

What was the final score in FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen?

FC Cologne 1–1 Werder Bremen, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Cologne 56%, the draw 24% and Werder Bremen 21%.

What were the stats in FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Shots 15–14, Shots on target 6–5, Corners 8–5, Saves 4–5, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen?

Yes — both FC Cologne and Werder Bremen scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Cologne or draw 79%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
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