FC Dallas vs LAFC prediction — MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK
FC Dallas 37Draw 26LAFC 37
Our call before kickoff
63%
LAFC or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

FC Dallas beat LAFC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. FC Dallas had 13 shots (4 on target) to LAFC's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%.

FC DallasFull-time statsLAFC
48%Possession52%
13Shots11
4Shots on target3
2Corners2
3Saves3
15Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLAFC or draw 63%FC Dallas won (37% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC DallasLAFC
1.4
Goals
1.5
FC DallasLAFC
0.5
Goals
0.5
FC DallasLAFC
1.0
Goals
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
LAFC to score77%
FC Dallas to score76%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

FC Dallas
47%
to score before half-time
LAFC
47%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.0 / match
LAFC in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Dallas vs LAFC?

FC Dallas beat LAFC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. FC Dallas had 13 shots (4 on target) to LAFC's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%.

What was the final score in FC Dallas vs LAFC?

FC Dallas 1–0 LAFC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Dallas 37%, the draw 26% and LAFC 37%.

What were the stats in FC Dallas vs LAFC?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 2–2, Saves 3–3, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in FC Dallas vs LAFC?

No. It finished 1–0, so LAFC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Dallas vs LAFC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC or draw 63%, it finished FC Dallas won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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