FC Dallas beat LAFC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. FC Dallas had 13 shots (4 on target) to LAFC's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
FC Dallas beat LAFC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. FC Dallas had 13 shots (4 on target) to LAFC's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%.
FC Dallas 1–0 LAFC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Dallas 37%, the draw 26% and LAFC 37%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 2–2, Saves 3–3, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
No. It finished 1–0, so LAFC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC or draw 63%, it finished FC Dallas won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed.