How it finished
Alverca beat FC Famalicao 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alverca 23%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. FC Famalicao had 13 shots (2 on target) to Alverca's 14 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Famalicao vs Alverca?
Alverca beat FC Famalicao 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alverca 23%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. FC Famalicao had 13 shots (2 on target) to Alverca's 14 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.9.
What was the final score in FC Famalicao vs Alverca?
FC Famalicao 1–4 Alverca, played on 12 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 50%, the draw 27% and Alverca 23%.
What were the stats in FC Famalicao vs Alverca?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.9, Shots 13–14, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 5–10, Big chances 1–6, Corners 8–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 11–27, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Alverca?
Yes — both FC Famalicao and Alverca scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Famalicao vs Alverca right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Famalicao or draw 77%, it finished Alverca won (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.