FC Groningen beat PEC Zwolle 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Groningen in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. FC Groningen had 17 shots (7 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 9 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
FC Groningen beat PEC Zwolle 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Groningen in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. FC Groningen had 17 shots (7 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 9 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.4.
FC Groningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Groningen 62%, the draw 21% and PEC Zwolle 17%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.4, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 2–0, Corners 5–6, Saves 1–4, Fouls 7–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 0–2.
No. It finished 3–0, so PEC Zwolle failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Groningen to win 62%, it finished FC Groningen won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No.