How it finished
Fiji beat New Caledonia 2–1. Bawler's model had Fiji in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Fiji had 12 shots (4 on target) to New Caledonia's 8 (3), with 64% of the ball against 36%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Fiji beat New Caledonia 2–1. Bawler's model had Fiji in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Fiji had 12 shots (4 on target) to New Caledonia's 8 (3), with 64% of the ball against 36%.
What was the final score in Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Fiji 2–1 New Caledonia, played on 30 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fiji 39%, the draw 25% and New Caledonia 36%.
What were the stats in Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Shots 12–8, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 6–6.
Did both teams score in Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Yes — both Fiji and New Caledonia scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fiji vs New Caledonia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fiji or draw 64%, it finished Fiji won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.