How it finished
Frosinone beat Fiorentina 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Fiorentina at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Frosinone 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Fiorentina had 25 shots (4 on target) to Frosinone's 12 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.1, so Fiorentina created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Frosinone beat Fiorentina 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Fiorentina at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Frosinone 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Fiorentina had 25 shots (4 on target) to Frosinone's 12 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.1, so Fiorentina created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fiorentina 52%, the draw 25% and Frosinone 23%.
What were the stats in Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.1, Shots 25–12, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 14–10, Big chances 1–3, Corners 8–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–21, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
No. It finished 0–3, so Fiorentina failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fiorentina vs Frosinone right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fiorentina or draw 77%, it finished Frosinone won (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Fiorentina to win 52%, it finished Missed.