Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa prediction — Süper Lig · Fri 9 Oct · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Fri 9 Oct · 18:00 UK
Galatasaray 72Draw 18Kasimpasa 10
Our call before kickoff
72%
Galatasaray to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

Galatasaray beat Kasimpasa 3–1. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Galatasaray had 25 shots (11 on target) to Kasimpasa's 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.

GalatasarayFull-time statsKasimpasa
63%Possession37%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.5
25Shots9
11Shots on target3
19Shots inside box3
5Big chances2
8Corners1
2Saves8
12Fouls15
0Offsides5
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGalatasaray to win 72%Galatasaray won (72% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score49%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GalatasarayKasimpasa
2.4
Goals+1.6
0.8
GalatasarayKasimpasa
0.6
Goals+0.4
0.3
GalatasarayKasimpasa
1.7
Goals+1.2
0.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Galatasaray to score91%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 3.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Galatasaray
65%
to score before half-time
Kasimpasa
29%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Galatasaray form (last 6)W W L W L W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.6 / match
Kasimpasa in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Galatasaray beat Kasimpasa 3–1. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Galatasaray had 25 shots (11 on target) to Kasimpasa's 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Galatasaray 3–1 Kasimpasa, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Galatasaray 72%, the draw 18% and Kasimpasa 10%.

What were the stats in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.5, Shots 25–9, Shots on target 11–3, Shots inside box 19–3, Big chances 5–2, Corners 8–1, Saves 2–8, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 2–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Yes — both Galatasaray and Kasimpasa scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Galatasaray to win 72%, it finished Galatasaray won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Galatasaray form →Kasimpasa form →