Galatasaray beat Kasimpasa 3–1. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Galatasaray had 25 shots (11 on target) to Kasimpasa's 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Galatasaray beat Kasimpasa 3–1. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Galatasaray had 25 shots (11 on target) to Kasimpasa's 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.
Galatasaray 3–1 Kasimpasa, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Galatasaray 72%, the draw 18% and Kasimpasa 10%.
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.5, Shots 25–9, Shots on target 11–3, Shots inside box 19–3, Big chances 5–2, Corners 8–1, Saves 2–8, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 2–4, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Galatasaray and Kasimpasa scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Galatasaray to win 72%, it finished Galatasaray won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.