Caykur Rizespor beat Gaziantep FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Caykur Rizespor 35%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 16 shots (4 on target) to Caykur Rizespor's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Caykur Rizespor beat Gaziantep FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Caykur Rizespor 35%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 16 shots (4 on target) to Caykur Rizespor's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.9.
Gaziantep FK 1–2 Caykur Rizespor, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gaziantep FK 39%, the draw 26% and Caykur Rizespor 35%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.9, Shots 16–10, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 1–3, Corners 8–0, Saves 2–4, Fouls 10–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Gaziantep FK and Caykur Rizespor scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gaziantep FK or draw 65%, it finished Caykur Rizespor won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.