Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB prediction — Süper Lig · Fri 28 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Fri 28 Aug · 19:30 UK
Genclerbirligi 40Draw 27Erzurum BB 33
Our call before kickoff
67%
Genclerbirligi or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Genclerbirligi and Erzurum BB drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Genclerbirligi at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Genclerbirligi had 16 shots (5 on target) to Erzurum BB's 9 (4), with 48% of the ball against 52%.

GenclerbirligiFull-time statsErzurum BB
48%Possession52%
16Shots9
5Shots on target4
3Corners5
3Saves3
15Fouls11
2Offsides1
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGenclerbirligi or draw 67%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GenclerbirligiErzurum BB
1.5
Goals+0.2
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Genclerbirligi to score77%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Erzurum BB to score73%
Under 3.5 goals69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Genclerbirligi 4 · Draws 1 · Erzurum BB 0
Erzurum BB in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2025Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Gençlerbirliği
Sept 2024Gençlerbirliği 1–0 Erzurumspor FK
Apr 2024Gençlerbirliği 2–0 Erzurumspor FK
Dec 2023Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Gençlerbirliği
May 2023Erzurumspor FK 0–1 Gençlerbirliği
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB?

Genclerbirligi and Erzurum BB drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Genclerbirligi at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Genclerbirligi had 16 shots (5 on target) to Erzurum BB's 9 (4), with 48% of the ball against 52%.

What was the final score in Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB?

Genclerbirligi 1–1 Erzurum BB, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genclerbirligi 40%, the draw 27% and Erzurum BB 33%.

What were the stats in Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 5–4, Corners 3–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB?

Yes — both Genclerbirligi and Erzurum BB scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Genclerbirligi or draw 67%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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