Genoa vs Napoli prediction — Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK
Genoa 31Draw 29Napoli 40
Our call before kickoff
69%
Napoli or draw
Landed
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
43%

How it finished

Napoli beat Genoa 2–0. Bawler's model had Napoli in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Genoa had 11 shots (2 on target) to Napoli's 13 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.

GenoaFull-time statsNapoli
46%Possession54%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
11Shots13
2Shots on target4
7Shots inside box4
0Big chances2
5Corners5
2Saves2
10Fouls8
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNapoli or draw 69%Napoli won (40% called)
Total goals2.42
Both teams to score49%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 69%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GenoaNapoli
1.1
Goals+0.2
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals78%
Napoli to score72%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Genoa to score67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Genoa 0 · Draws 2 · Napoli 3
Napoli in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Genoa 2–3 Napoli
Oct 2025Napoli 2–1 Genoa
May 2025Napoli 2–2 Genoa
Dec 2024Genoa 1–2 Napoli
Feb 2024Napoli 1–1 Genoa
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Genoa vs Napoli?

Napoli beat Genoa 2–0. Bawler's model had Napoli in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Genoa had 11 shots (2 on target) to Napoli's 13 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Genoa vs Napoli?

Genoa 0–2 Napoli, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genoa 31%, the draw 29% and Napoli 40%.

What were the stats in Genoa vs Napoli?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.8, Shots 11–13, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 7–4, Big chances 0–2, Corners 5–5, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Genoa vs Napoli?

No. It finished 0–2, so Genoa failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Genoa vs Napoli right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Napoli or draw 69%, it finished Napoli won (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 69%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Genoa form →Napoli form →