Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 24 Aug · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Mon 24 Aug · 20:15 UK
Gil Vicente 61Draw 24Casa Pia 16
Our call before kickoff
61%
Gil Vicente to win
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
64%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
47%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Gil Vicente beat Casa Pia 2–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 8 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

Gil VicenteFull-time statsCasa Pia
56%Possession44%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
8Shots13
4Shots on target2
6Shots inside box7
3Big chances1
3Corners4
2Saves2
11Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGil Vicente to win 61%Gil Vicente won (61% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score47%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 50%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Gil VicenteCasa Pia
1.8
Goals+1.0
0.8
18.0
Shots+9.8
8.2
6.0
On target+3.3
2.6
6.4
Corners+3.1
3.2
Gil VicenteCasa Pia
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.3
8.1
Shots+4.1
4.0
2.4
On target+1.2
1.2
3.0
Corners+1.5
1.5
Gil VicenteCasa Pia
1.3
Goals+0.8
0.6
9.9
Shots+5.7
4.2
3.5
On target+2.1
1.4
3.4
Corners+1.7
1.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Gil Vicente to score84%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%

First half — what we expected

Gil Vicente
50%
to score before half-time
Casa Pia
28%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%

Gil VicenteCasa Pia
8.11st-half shots4.0
2.41st-half shots on target1.2
3.01st-half corners1.5

First-half chances

64%Chance of 7+ shots15%
41%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
88%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
42%Chance of 3+ shots on target14%
75%Chance of 2+ corners42%
35%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Gil Vicente8.19.9
Shots · Casa Pia4.04.2
Shots on target · Gil Vicente2.43.5
Shots on target · Casa Pia1.21.4
Corners · Gil Vicente3.03.4
Corners · Casa Pia1.51.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Gil Vicente 1 · Draws 3 · Casa Pia 1
Casa Pia in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Gil Vicente 2–1 Casa Pia AC
Dec 2025Casa Pia AC 1–1 Gil Vicente
Feb 2025Casa Pia AC 1–0 Gil Vicente
Sept 2024Gil Vicente 1–1 Casa Pia AC
Mar 2024Casa Pia AC 0–0 Gil Vicente
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Gil Vicente beat Casa Pia 2–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 8 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gil Vicente 61%, the draw 24% and Casa Pia 16%.

What were the stats in Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 8–13, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

No. It finished 2–0, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gil Vicente to win 61%, it finished Gil Vicente won (61% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
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