Gil Vicente beat Casa Pia 2–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 8 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Gil Vicente beat Casa Pia 2–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 8 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.
Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gil Vicente 61%, the draw 24% and Casa Pia 16%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 8–13, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 2–0, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gil Vicente to win 61%, it finished Gil Vicente won (61% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Missed.