How it finished
Heart of Midlothian beat St Mirren 5–0. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Heart of Midlothian had 18 shots (6 on target) to St Mirren's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?
Heart of Midlothian beat St Mirren 5–0. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Heart of Midlothian had 18 shots (6 on target) to St Mirren's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?
Heart of Midlothian 5–0 St Mirren, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 60%, the draw 24% and St Mirren 16%.
What were the stats in Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 3.4–0.7, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 14–4, Big chances 4–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–1, Fouls 16–18, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?
No. It finished 5–0, so St Mirren failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heart of Midlothian to win 60%, it finished Heart of Midlothian won (60% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Heart of Midlothian or draw 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.