Internazionale vs Udinese prediction — Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 19:45 UK
Internazionale 67Draw 20Udinese 13
Our call before kickoff
67%
Internazionale to win
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Internazionale beat Udinese 5–3. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 8. Internazionale had 27 shots (12 on target) to Udinese's 6 (5), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.9.

InternazionaleFull-time statsUdinese
66%Possession34%
3.1Expected goals (xG)0.9
27Shots6
12Shots on target5
17Shots inside box5
8Big chances3
10Corners1
2Saves7
9Fouls9
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callInternazionale to win 67%Internazionale won (67% called)
Total goals3.08
Both teams to score50%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

InternazionaleUdinese
2.2
Goals+1.3
0.8
19.6
Shots+11.2
8.4
6.4
On target+3.2
3.2
6.8
Corners+3.7
3.1
InternazionaleUdinese
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.3
9.1
Shots+5.4
3.8
2.9
On target+1.5
1.4
3.2
Corners+1.7
1.5
InternazionaleUdinese
1.6
Goals+1.1
0.5
10.5
Shots+5.8
4.6
3.5
On target+1.7
1.8
3.6
Corners+1.9
1.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Internazionale to score89%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

Internazionale
56%
to score before half-time
Udinese
32%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

InternazionaleUdinese
9.11st-half shots3.8
2.91st-half shots on target1.4
3.21st-half corners1.5

First-half chances

64%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
42%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
74%Chance of 2+ shots on target38%
33%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
78%Chance of 2+ corners41%
39%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Internazionale9.110.5
Shots · Udinese3.84.6
Shots on target · Internazionale2.93.5
Shots on target · Udinese1.41.8
Corners · Internazionale3.23.6
Corners · Udinese1.51.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Internazionale 4 · Draws 0 · Udinese 1
Udinese in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jan 2026Udinese 0–1 Inter
Aug 2025Inter 1–2 Udinese
Mar 2025Inter 2–1 Udinese
Dec 2024Inter 2–0 Udinese
Sept 2024Udinese 2–3 Inter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Internazionale vs Udinese?

Internazionale beat Udinese 5–3. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 8. Internazionale had 27 shots (12 on target) to Udinese's 6 (5), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Internazionale vs Udinese?

Internazionale 5–3 Udinese, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Internazionale 67%, the draw 20% and Udinese 13%.

What were the stats in Internazionale vs Udinese?

Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–0.9, Shots 27–6, Shots on target 12–5, Shots inside box 17–5, Big chances 8–3, Corners 10–1, Saves 2–7, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Internazionale vs Udinese?

Yes — both Internazionale and Udinese scored, finishing 5–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Internazionale vs Udinese right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Internazionale to win 67%, it finished Internazionale won (67% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Internazionale form →Udinese form →