How it finished
Galatasaray beat Istanbul Basaksehir 3–2. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Istanbul Basaksehir had 12 shots (3 on target) to Galatasaray's 13 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray?
Galatasaray beat Istanbul Basaksehir 3–2. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Istanbul Basaksehir had 12 shots (3 on target) to Galatasaray's 13 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.0.
What was the final score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray?
Istanbul Basaksehir 2–3 Galatasaray, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Istanbul Basaksehir 37%, the draw 25% and Galatasaray 38%.
What were the stats in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.0, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–4, Corners 6–5, Saves 3–2, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray?
Yes — both Istanbul Basaksehir and Galatasaray scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Galatasaray or draw 63%, it finished Galatasaray won (38% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.