How it finished
Istanbul Basaksehir beat Genclerbirligi 4–0. Bawler's model had Istanbul Basaksehir in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Istanbul Basaksehir had 18 shots (11 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 7 (0), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi?
Istanbul Basaksehir beat Genclerbirligi 4–0. Bawler's model had Istanbul Basaksehir in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Istanbul Basaksehir had 18 shots (11 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 7 (0), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi?
Istanbul Basaksehir 4–0 Genclerbirligi, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Istanbul Basaksehir 62%, the draw 21% and Genclerbirligi 17%.
What were the stats in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.5, Shots 18–7, Shots on target 11–0, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 4–0, Corners 3–7, Saves 0–7, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi?
No. It finished 4–0, so Genclerbirligi failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Istanbul Basaksehir to win 62%, it finished Istanbul Basaksehir won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No.