Juventus vs Parma prediction — Serie A · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK
Juventus 70Draw 19Parma 10
Our call before kickoff
70%
Juventus to win
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
65%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Juventus beat Parma 2–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Juventus had 21 shots (6 on target) to Parma's 4 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.2.

JuventusFull-time statsParma
58%Possession42%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.2
21Shots4
6Shots on target3
10Shots inside box3
2Big chances0
10Corners2
3Saves4
23Fouls12
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callJuventus to win 70%Juventus won (70% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score46%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

JuventusParma
2.2
Goals+1.5
0.7
19.1
Shots+11.5
7.6
6.2
On target+4.0
2.2
7.0
Corners+3.9
3.1
JuventusParma
0.5
Goals+0.3
0.3
8.8
Shots+5.3
3.5
2.8
On target+1.8
0.9
3.3
Corners+1.9
1.4
JuventusParma
1.7
Goals+1.2
0.5
10.4
Shots+6.2
4.1
3.4
On target+2.2
1.2
3.7
Corners+2.1
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Juventus to score89%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Juventus
53%
to score before half-time
Parma
26%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%

JuventusParma
8.81st-half shots3.5
2.81st-half shots on target0.9
3.31st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

60%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
39%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
72%Chance of 2+ shots on target24%
30%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
79%Chance of 2+ corners40%
41%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Juventus8.810.4
Shots · Parma3.54.1
Shots on target · Juventus2.83.4
Shots on target · Parma0.91.2
Corners · Juventus3.33.7
Corners · Parma1.41.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Juventus 3 · Draws 1 · Parma 1
Parma in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Parma 1–4 Juventus
Aug 2025Juventus 2–0 Parma
Apr 2025Parma 1–0 Juventus
Oct 2024Juventus 2–2 Parma
Apr 2021Juventus 3–1 Parma
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Juventus vs Parma?

Juventus beat Parma 2–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Juventus had 21 shots (6 on target) to Parma's 4 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Juventus vs Parma?

Juventus 2–0 Parma, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Juventus 70%, the draw 19% and Parma 10%.

What were the stats in Juventus vs Parma?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.2, Shots 21–4, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 10–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 10–2, Saves 3–4, Fouls 23–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Juventus vs Parma?

No. It finished 2–0, so Parma failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Juventus vs Parma right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Juventus to win 70%, it finished Juventus won (70% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Juventus form →Parma form →