How it finished
KAA Gent beat Standard Liege 2–1. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 11 shots (6 on target) to Standard Liege's 14 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?
KAA Gent beat Standard Liege 2–1. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 11 shots (6 on target) to Standard Liege's 14 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.1.
What was the final score in KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?
KAA Gent 2–1 Standard Liege, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KAA Gent 49%, the draw 25% and Standard Liege 26%.
What were the stats in KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.1, Shots 11–14, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 10–10, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–6, Saves 3–4, Fouls 11–5, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in KAA Gent vs Standard Liege?
Yes — both KAA Gent and Standard Liege scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for KAA Gent vs Standard Liege right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said KAA Gent or draw 74%, it finished KAA Gent won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.