How it finished
Dundee United beat Kilmarnock 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Kilmarnock at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 32%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Kilmarnock had 16 shots (4 on target) to Dundee United's 21 (8), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Dundee United beat Kilmarnock 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Kilmarnock at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 32%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Kilmarnock had 16 shots (4 on target) to Dundee United's 21 (8), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.5.
What was the final score in Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kilmarnock 43%, the draw 24% and Dundee United 32%.
What were the stats in Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–3.5, Shots 16–21, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 10–15, Big chances 0–6, Corners 3–5, Saves 4–5, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
No. It finished 0–4, so Kilmarnock failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Kilmarnock or draw 68%, it finished Dundee United won (32% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.