How it finished
Kocaelispor beat Samsunspor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 32%. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Kocaelispor had 9 shots (4 on target) to Samsunspor's 19 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.6, so Samsunspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Kocaelispor beat Samsunspor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 32%. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Kocaelispor had 9 shots (4 on target) to Samsunspor's 19 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.6, so Samsunspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kocaelispor 32%, the draw 30% and Samsunspor 38%.
What were the stats in Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.6, Shots 9–19, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 4–13, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–4, Saves 4–3, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
No. It finished 1–0, so Samsunspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Samsunspor or draw 68%, it finished Kocaelispor won (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 68%, it finished Missed.