Konyaspor beat Trabzonspor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Trabzonspor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Konyaspor 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Konyaspor had 11 shots (5 on target) to Trabzonspor's 15 (4), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Konyaspor beat Trabzonspor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Trabzonspor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Konyaspor 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Konyaspor had 11 shots (5 on target) to Trabzonspor's 15 (4), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.8.
Konyaspor 1–0 Trabzonspor, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Konyaspor 36%, the draw 26% and Trabzonspor 38%.
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–7, Saves 4–4, Fouls 16–9, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–3.
No. It finished 1–0, so Trabzonspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Trabzonspor or draw 64%, it finished Konyaspor won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.