KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 18:15 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 18:15 UK
KV Mechelen 33Draw 26Sint-Truidense 41
Our call before kickoff
67%
Sint-Truidense or draw
Missed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

KV Mechelen beat Sint-Truidense 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Sint-Truidense at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KV Mechelen 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 7.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSint-Truidense or draw 67%KV Mechelen won (33% called)
Total goals3.07
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KV MechelenSint-Truidense
1.4
Goals+0.2
1.6
KV MechelenSint-Truidense
0.5
Goals
0.5
KV MechelenSint-Truidense
0.9
Goals+0.1
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
Sint-Truidense to score79%
KV Mechelen to score75%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

KV Mechelen
46%
to score before half-time
Sint-Truidense
50%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

KV Mechelen form (last 6)L D L L D W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Sint-Truidense in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense?

KV Mechelen beat Sint-Truidense 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Sint-Truidense at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KV Mechelen 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 7.

What was the final score in KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense?

KV Mechelen 4–3 Sint-Truidense, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Mechelen 33%, the draw 26% and Sint-Truidense 41%.

Did both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense?

Yes — both KV Mechelen and Sint-Truidense scored, finishing 4–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sint-Truidense or draw 67%, it finished KV Mechelen won (33% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KV Mechelen form →Sint-Truidense form →