How it finished
LA Galaxy beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. LA Galaxy had 15 shots (7 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 9 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 1.8, so Colorado Rapids created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?
LA Galaxy beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. LA Galaxy had 15 shots (7 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 9 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 1.8, so Colorado Rapids created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?
LA Galaxy 3–2 Colorado Rapids, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 39%, the draw 25% and Colorado Rapids 36%.
What were the stats in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.8, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 3–4, Corners 5–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 13–20, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?
Yes — both LA Galaxy and Colorado Rapids scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LA Galaxy or draw 64%, it finished LA Galaxy won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.