How it finished
Lazio beat Monza 3–1. Bawler's model had Lazio in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Lazio had 17 shots (7 on target) to Monza's 14 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.9, so Monza created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lazio vs Monza?
Lazio beat Monza 3–1. Bawler's model had Lazio in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Lazio had 17 shots (7 on target) to Monza's 14 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.9, so Monza created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Lazio vs Monza?
Lazio 3–1 Monza, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lazio 45%, the draw 27% and Monza 28%.
What were the stats in Lazio vs Monza?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.9, Shots 17–14, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 3–1, Corners 7–6, Saves 5–4, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 3–1, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Lazio vs Monza?
Yes — both Lazio and Monza scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lazio vs Monza right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lazio or draw 72%, it finished Lazio won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 55%, it finished Landed.