How it finished
Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0. Bawler's model had Lorient in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Lorient had 8 shots (5 on target) to Paris FC's 16 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 0.7, so Paris FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lorient vs Paris FC?
Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0. Bawler's model had Lorient in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Lorient had 8 shots (5 on target) to Paris FC's 16 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 0.7, so Paris FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Lorient vs Paris FC?
Lorient 1–0 Paris FC, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lorient 43%, the draw 27% and Paris FC 30%.
What were the stats in Lorient vs Paris FC?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.7, Shots 8–16, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 0–1, Corners 3–9, Saves 3–3, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–5.
Did both teams score in Lorient vs Paris FC?
No. It finished 1–0, so Paris FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lorient vs Paris FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lorient or draw 70%, it finished Lorient won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.