How it finished
Lyon and Le Havre AC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lyon had 15 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre AC's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Lyon and Le Havre AC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lyon had 15 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre AC's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Lyon 1–1 Le Havre AC, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 59%, the draw 23% and Le Havre AC 18%.
What were the stats in Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.7, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 5–2, Corners 5–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 5–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Yes — both Lyon and Le Havre AC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre AC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lyon or draw 82%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.