How it finished
Mainz and SC Paderborn 07 drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Mainz at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.3 goals; nobody scored. Mainz had 22 shots (4 on target) to SC Paderborn 07's 10 (0), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Mainz vs SC Paderborn 07?
Mainz and SC Paderborn 07 drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Mainz at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.3 goals; nobody scored. Mainz had 22 shots (4 on target) to SC Paderborn 07's 10 (0), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Mainz vs SC Paderborn 07?
Mainz 0–0 SC Paderborn 07, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Mainz 61%, the draw 21% and SC Paderborn 07 18%.
What were the stats in Mainz vs SC Paderborn 07?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.8, Shots 22–10, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 15–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 11–2, Saves 0–4, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Mainz vs SC Paderborn 07?
No. It finished 0–0, so Mainz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Mainz vs SC Paderborn 07 right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Mainz to win 61%, it finished Draw (21% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No.