How it finished
Manchester City beat Norwich City 5–0. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Manchester City had 14 shots (6 on target) to Norwich City's 4 (0), with 66% of the ball against 34%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 85%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Manchester City vs Norwich City?
Manchester City beat Norwich City 5–0. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Manchester City had 14 shots (6 on target) to Norwich City's 4 (0), with 66% of the ball against 34%.
What was the final score in Manchester City vs Norwich City?
Manchester City 5–0 Norwich City, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester City 80%, the draw 13% and Norwich City 6%.
What were the stats in Manchester City vs Norwich City?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Shots 14–4, Shots on target 6–0, Corners 2–3, Saves 0–1, Fouls 8–6, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Manchester City vs Norwich City?
No. It finished 5–0, so Norwich City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Manchester City vs Norwich City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester City to win 80%, it finished Manchester City won (80% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.