Manchester United beat Ipswich Town 5–2. Bawler's model had Manchester United in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. Manchester United had 33 shots (11 on target) to Ipswich Town's 9 (5), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 4.6 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Manchester United beat Ipswich Town 5–2. Bawler's model had Manchester United in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. Manchester United had 33 shots (11 on target) to Ipswich Town's 9 (5), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 4.6 to 2.0.
Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich Town, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester United 70%, the draw 18% and Ipswich Town 12%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 4.6–2.0, Shots 33–9, Shots on target 11–5, Shots inside box 19–6, Big chances 7–4, Corners 8–4, Saves 3–6, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Manchester United and Ipswich Town scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester United to win 70%, it finished Manchester United won (70% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.