USA: MLSThursday 20 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Minnesota United FC vAtlanta United FC

Most likely scoreline
11
11% of the time · 2.86 goals expected
Minnesota United FC 54%Draw 25%Atlanta United FC 20%
How we get there
Minnesota United FCstepAtlanta United FC
1.77Base xG · rolling 26-match1.09
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.77Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.09

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Minnesota United average 5.2 corners per game at home this season (27 competitive matches). Atlanta Utd average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
6
6
3
1
1
10
11
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
6
3
1
4
2
3
1
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Minnesota United vs Atlanta Utd — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Minnesota United and Atlanta Utd — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Minnesota United 54% · draw 25% · Atlanta Utd 20%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.