How it finished
Atlanta United FC beat Minnesota United FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlanta United FC 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Minnesota United FC had 13 shots (4 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 0.9, so Minnesota United FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
Atlanta United FC beat Minnesota United FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlanta United FC 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Minnesota United FC had 13 shots (4 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 0.9, so Minnesota United FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Minnesota United FC 52%, the draw 25% and Atlanta United FC 23%.
What were the stats in Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.9, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 6–2, Corners 6–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 4–3.
Did both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
Yes — both Minnesota United FC and Atlanta United FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Minnesota United FC or draw 77%, it finished Atlanta United FC won (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.