How it finished
Monza beat Sassuolo 2–1. Bawler's model had Monza in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Monza had 15 shots (6 on target) to Sassuolo's 20 (8), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.6, so Sassuolo created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Monza vs Sassuolo?
Monza beat Sassuolo 2–1. Bawler's model had Monza in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Monza had 15 shots (6 on target) to Sassuolo's 20 (8), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.6, so Sassuolo created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Monza vs Sassuolo?
Monza 2–1 Sassuolo, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Monza 45%, the draw 27% and Sassuolo 28%.
What were the stats in Monza vs Sassuolo?
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.6, Shots 15–20, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 8–13, Big chances 2–5, Corners 7–5, Saves 7–4, Fouls 13–6, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Monza vs Sassuolo?
Yes — both Monza and Sassuolo scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Monza vs Sassuolo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Monza or draw 72%, it finished Monza won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.